畜牧与饲料科学 ›› 2017, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (9): 31-31.doi: 10.12160/j.issn.1672-5190.2017.09.010

• 草业科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

播期与秋闲田饲用高粱生物产量的回归分析

周汉章[1];刘红霞[2];刘环[3];周新建[4];魏志敏[1];李顺国[1];侯升林[1]   

  1. [1]河北省农林科学院谷子研究所国家谷子改良中心河北省杂粮研究重点实验室,河北石家庄050035 [2]河北省深泽县职业技术教育中心,河北深泽052560 [3]河北省深泽县农业局,河北深泽052560 [4]河北省石家庄市农业局,河北石家庄050051
  • 出版日期:2017-09-20 发布日期:2017-09-20
  • 通讯作者: 周汉章
  • 作者简介:周汉章(1960-),男,研究员,主要从事植物保护与-年生饲用作物栽培技术研究. 李顺国(1976-),男,研究员,硕士,主要从事谷子栽培与经济研究工作. 通讯作者:侯升林(1978-),男,副研究员,博士,主要从事高粱与牧草研究工作.
  • 基金资助:
    农业部公益性行业科研专项“牧区饲草饲料资源开发利用技术研究与示范”(20120304201)

Regression Analysis between Sowing Times and Biological Yields of Forage Sorghum in Autumn Idle Land

ZHOU Han-zhang1,LIU Hong-xia2,LIU Huan3,ZHOU Xin-jian4,WEI Zhi-min1,LI Shun-guo1,HOU Sheng- lin1(1.Key Laboratory of Minority Crops Research in Hebei Province,National Foxtail Millet Improvement Center ,Institute of Millet Crops,Hebei Academy of Agriculture and Forestry Sciences ,Shijiazhuang 050035, China; 2.Vocational and TechnicalEducation Center of Shenze County of Hebei Provinc e,Shenze 052560, China; 3.Agricultural Bureau of Shenze County of Hebei Province,Shenze 052560, China; 4. Agricultural Bureau of Shijiazhuang City of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang 050051, China)   

  • Online:2017-09-20 Published:2017-09-20

摘要: [目的]为了使秋闲田饲用高粱丰产丰收,探索播期与秋闲田饲用高粱生物产量的线性回归预测模型。[方法]采用田间试验与线性回归分析的方法,对播期与饲用高粱生物产量的关系进行模拟和比较。[结果]播期对秋闲田饲用高粱生物产量具有重要影响,其生物产量随播期的推迟而降低。构建了播期与生物产量关系的回归模型,鲜草产量与播期的回归模型为y鲜=196.646-4.625x,干草产量与播期的回归模型为y干=58.253-1.423x。在7月23日—8月30日的播期每推迟1 d,饲用高粱的鲜草产量平均减少4.625 kg/20 m^2,干草产量平均减少1.423 kg/20 m^2。[结论]该研究构建的回归模型,为秋闲田饲用高粱生产提供了数据参考。

Abstract: [Objective]In order to improve the forage sorghum yield level in autumn idle land, the linear regression prediction model of sowing times and biological yields of forage sorghum was statistically constructed. The correlation between sowing times and biological yields of forage sorghum was simulated and compared by conducting field plot experiment and employing linear regression analysis method. [Results]The sowing times had great influence on the biological yields of forage sorghum, and the biological yields were decreased with the delay of sowing times. The regression model between sowing times and biological yields was constructed: the regression model of fresh yields and sowing times is yfresh=196.646-4.625 x, and that of hay yields and sowing times is yhay=58.253-1.423 x. Between July 23rd and August 30^th, the fresh yields and hay yields of forage sorghum were averagely reduced by 4.625 kg/20 m^2 and 1.423 kg/20 m^2 respectively when the sowing times were delayed by every one day. [Conclusion]The regression model constructed in this study provides scientific basis for improving the production level of forage sorghum in autumn idle land.

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