北方农业学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 50 ›› Issue (6): 119-127.doi: 10.12190/j.issn.2096-1197.2022.06.16

• 农业经济·农业信息技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

西北五省(区)农业与物流业协调发展水平及其影响因素分析

马楠, 欧阳金琼, 王新娥, 卢梦   

  1. 塔里木大学,新疆 阿拉尔 843300
  • 收稿日期:2022-10-20 出版日期:2022-12-20 发布日期:2023-03-24
  • 通讯作者: 欧阳金琼
  • 作者简介:欧阳金琼(1972—),男,教授,博士,主要从事宏观经济与劳动力就业的研究工作。
    马 楠(1999—),男,硕士研究生,研究方向为农业经济与产业融合。
  • 基金资助:
    新疆生产建设兵团社会科学基金项目(21YB23)

Analysis on the coordinated development between agriculture and logistics industry and its influencing factors in five northwest provinces(regions)

MA Nan, OUYANG Jinqiong, WANG Xin′e, LU Meng   

  1. Tarim University,Aral 843300,China
  • Received:2022-10-20 Online:2022-12-20 Published:2023-03-24
  • Contact: OUYANG Jinqiong

摘要:

【目的】测算西北五省(区)农业与物流业协调发展程度,分析其影响因素,为促进二者的协调发展提供理论依据。【方法】基于2010—2020年西北五省(区)农业与物流业相关数据,运用耦合协调度模型测算农业与物流业耦合协调度,并采用灰色关联分析法分析耦合协调度的影响因素。【结果】西北五省(区)近十年来农业与物流业发展水平整体呈现上升趋势,耦合协调度从勉强协调逐步过渡至初级协调。从地区来看,陕西最早处于协调状态,由中级协调发展到了良好协调;新疆由勉强协调逐步发展到中级协调;宁夏在研究期间处于轻度失调;甘肃由勉强协调发展到初级协调;青海在研究期间处于中度失调。影响因素计算结果表明,经济水平、流通水平、资源水平、政策支持与耦合协调度的关联度分别为0.736 0、0.851 0、0.652 5、0.748 5,是影响农业与物流业协调发展的主要因素。【结论】西北五省(区)农业与物流业的发展水平总体呈上升趋势,但各省(区)发展水平仍不高且差异较大;各省(区)农业与物流业的协调程度处于不同水平,且处在不稳定阶段;流通水平与西北五省(区)农业与物流业耦合协调度有着最为显著的关联。

关键词: 西北五省(区), 农业, 物流业, 耦合协调度, 影响因素

Abstract:

【Objective】To calculate the coordination development degree between agriculture and logistics industry in five northwest provinces(regions),analyze the influencing factors,and to provide references for promoting the coordinated development of the two.【Methods】Based on the relevant data of agriculture and logistics industry in the five northwest provinces(regions) from 2010 to 2020,the coupled coordination degree model was used to estimate the coupled coordination degree between agriculture and logistics industry,and the influencing factors of the coupled coordination degree were analyzed by the grey correlation analysis.【Results】In the past ten years,there had been an upward tendency in the development of agriculture and logistics industry in the five northwest provinces(regions). The coupled coordination degree gradually transited from reluctant coordination to primary coordination. From regional perspective,Shaanxi was the first to reach coordination state,and progressing from intermediate coordination to good coordination. Xinjiang had gradually developed from reluctant coordination to intermediate coordination. Ningxia was in mild disorder during the study period. Gansu had developed from reluctant coordination to primary coordination. Qinghai was in moderate disorder during the study period. The analysis results of influencing factors revealed that the correlation degree between economic level,circulation level,resource level,policy support and coupled coordination degree was 0.736 0,0.851 0,0.652 5 and 0.748 5,respectively,and were the key factors influencing the coordinated development between agriculture and logistics industry.【Conclusion】The development of agriculture and logistics industry in the five northwest provinces(regions) were generally on the rise. Although there were significant gaps in the provinces(regions) and the development levels were still not high. The coordination between the agriculture and logistics industry in the provinces(regions) were in different degree and in the unstable stage. Circulation level had the most significant correlation with the coupled coordination degree of agriculture and logistics industry in the five northwest provinces(regions).

Key words: Five northwest provinces(regions), Agriculture, Logistics industry, Coupled coordination degree, Influence factors

中图分类号: 

  • F327